v3 cap-continuation 150-300k VERY FRESH

Testmgr4 · miss family (capc variant) · paper, $10 a trade, since 23 Oct · idea #3840 (ledger pending) · updated 23 Oct 14:03 Bangkok, refreshes every minute.

Not verified yet: treat these numbers as unproven

Waiting for: cron install pending (ops); fwd n>=15

Still open:

Paper run, no real money

Test Manager forward test on research-box. Kill rule: mean<1.0x with upper80<1.05 at fwd n>=20; decide by 27 Oct. Live only after 2 profitable days without bugs; only Ben switches.

Total P&L
+$71.80
Trades done
13
10 up, 3 down
Best trade
4.0x
Exit rule shown
H
cross 150-300k, pool age<=60m, stop .7 trail 50%

Replay of past coins (not in the numbers above): 148 trades, mean 1.25x, +$363.07 at $10. Backtest, no forward evidence.

P&L over time (US dollars, Bangkok time)

Each step is a trade with exit rule H, numbered in time order.

$0$20$40$60trade 1 at 20 Oct 16:38 1.01x +$0.08#1trade 2 at 20 Oct 18:49 3.23x +$22.27#2trade 3 at 21 Oct 01:36 0.63x -$3.67#3trade 4 at 21 Oct 08:02 1.17x +$1.74#4trade 5 at 21 Oct 17:23 0.65x -$3.51#5trade 6 at 21 Oct 19:03 2.70x +$16.99#6trade 7 at 22 Oct 04:26 4.00x +$29.97#7trade 8 at 22 Oct 11:05 1.53x +$5.31#8trade 9 at 22 Oct 15:45 1.03x +$0.31#9trade 10 at 22 Oct 20:11 1.32x +$3.23#10trade 11 at 22 Oct 23:47 1.12x +$1.22#11trade 12 at 23 Oct 06:49 0.62x -$3.83#12trade 13 at 23 Oct 07:42 1.17x +$1.69#1320 Oct21 Oct22 Oct22 Oct23 Oct
Every trade (exit rule H)
#PoolTimeInWhy soldResult
130x827e8814a273cb4b30c19025f85337dfe6966a6423 Oct 07:42$10trail1.17x (+16.9%)
+$1.69
120x09b3d1142d71faee4baf8b4057b724dd225ba31423 Oct 06:49$10trail0.62x (-38.3%)
-$3.83
110x8dbebbf1e65d9d185d9fdfac59c155b5c6d8496422 Oct 23:47$10trail1.12x (+12.2%)
+$1.22
100xaa9844f592dfab4cdc8ad96c0fbfd0137fae00b822 Oct 20:11$10trail1.32x (+32.3%)
+$3.23
90x241919430981ae65d036a3fad4d207ba9c192ccc22 Oct 15:45$10trail1.03x (+3.1%)
+$0.31
80x775b9201eae9512a7626818e5b8775d072b9832f22 Oct 11:05$10trail1.53x (+53.1%)
+$5.31
70xad7ff23810f149d0900987f2b74790ee6723cda622 Oct 04:26$10trail4.00x (+299.7%)
+$29.97
60x82fc11f076817e52438d8e41da54edf086d829aa21 Oct 19:03$10trail2.70x (+169.9%)
+$16.99
50x9cf6cdfd1c414bdc14594a67c7ca3eda8b1ea56821 Oct 17:23$10trail0.65x (-35.1%)
-$3.51
40xe9d0f67a79a952ff7928c3940a88b5289101dafe21 Oct 08:02$10trail1.17x (+17.4%)
+$1.74
30x55e0a094ca5d911bcddaea0d4d2751aca668cb8321 Oct 01:36$10trail0.63x (-36.7%)
-$3.67
20x7c06e52a1c1f5713c1c39a30530536c591174fff20 Oct 18:49$10trail3.23x (+222.7%)
+$22.27
10x6a723aa4637eb685fd5759a7b5eb3e296f30e75520 Oct 16:38$10trail1.01x (+0.8%)
+$0.08
Full Test Manager report
# v3cf1 paper (testmgr4) 23 Oct 07:03 UTC
150-300k VERY FRESH (age<=60m) hunt 1-3M. Open legs 0.
- H: n 161, mean 1.27x, median 0.98x, win 76, pull 5, time 0